UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Iowa
  
Iowa                  
W-L: (34-21) PR = 95.8324

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 6-15 214 A Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 4- 3 215 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 21-13 220 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 7-10 221 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 6- 1 222 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 2- 3 224 H Wartburg 13- 0 227 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 2-12 228 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 6- 4 301 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 3- 1 304 A Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 10- 8 306 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 11- 1 307 H Lindenwood OV ( 4- 4, 95.1) 3- 4 308 H Lindenwood OV ( 4- 4, 95.1) 10- 9 310 H St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 7- 2 313 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 6-11 314 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 13- 4 315 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 12- 4 320 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 0- 2 321 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 5- 2 321 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 8- 2 324 A Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 11- 0 327 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 2- 5 328 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 0-19 329 H UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 6-14 331 A Bradley MV ( 2- 6, 87.9) 21- 8 403 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 4- 9 404 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 3- 2 405 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 5- 4 407 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 12- 3 410 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 2- 0 411 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 3- 6 412 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 2- 8 414 H Bradley MV ( 2- 6, 87.9) 20- 1 418 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 5- 2 419 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 5-16 421 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 22- 3 422 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 6- 4 424 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 12- 2 425 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 9- 2 426 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 7- 4 428 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 6-13 501 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 9- 3 502 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 6- 5 503 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 2- 6 505 H St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 14- 4 508 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 0-10 509 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 11-15 510 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 6- 8 514 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 10- 2 515 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 14- 5 516 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 15- 9 519 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 10- 6 520 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 3- 4 521 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 1- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Kansas State            6-15      -9    -1    ---   -7.54
   214 A Air Force               4- 3       1     0           0.74
   215 H Northeastern           21-13       8     2    ++     5.92
   220 H Florida Gulf Coast      7-10      -3     2    --    -5.44
   221 A Florida Atlantic        6- 1       5     1    +      3.60
   222 A Florida Atlantic        2- 3      -1     1    -     -2.40
   227 H Alabama                 2-12     -10    -1    ---   -9.43
   228 A Houston                 6- 4       2     1           1.44
   301 A UT Arlington            3- 1       2     2           0.23
   304 A Belmont                10- 8       2     3          -1.41
   306 A Seton Hall             11- 1      10     5    ++     5.30
   307 H Lindenwood              3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.38
   308 H Lindenwood             10- 9       1     1          -0.38
   310 H St. Thomas              7- 2       5     7          -1.61
   313 A Penn State              6-11      -5     3    ---   -8.44
   314 A Penn State             13- 4       9     3    ++     5.56
   315 A Penn State             12- 4       8     3    ++     4.56
   320 A Michigan State          0- 2      -2     0    -     -2.11
   321 H Northeastern            5- 2       3     2           0.92
   321 H South Carolina          8- 2       6     2    ++     4.04
   324 A Illinois State         11- 0      11     4    +++    6.74
   327 H UCLA                    2- 5      -3    -2          -1.09
   328 H UCLA                    0-19     -19    -2    ---  -12.09
   329 H UCLA                    6-14      -8    -2    ---   -6.09
   331 A Bradley                21- 8      13     7    ++     5.72
   403 H Minnesota               4- 9      -5    -1    --    -4.17
   404 H Minnesota               3- 2       1    -1           1.83
   405 H Minnesota               5- 4       1    -1           1.83
   407 A UCF                    12- 3       9    -1    +++    9.84
   410 H Long Beach State        2- 0       2     4          -1.63
   411 A USC                     3- 6      -3    -2          -0.66
   412 A USC                     2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.66
   414 H Bradley                20- 1      19     9    ++     5.37
   418 H Maryland                5- 2       3     2           1.28
   419 H Maryland                5-16     -11     2    ---  -12.72
   421 H Western Illinois       22- 3      19     9    ++     4.93
   422 H UIC                     6- 4       2     4          -1.88
   424 A Indiana                12- 2      10     0    +++    9.90
   425 A Indiana                 9- 2       7     0    +++    6.90
   426 A Indiana                 7- 4       3     0    +      2.90
   428 H Illinois State          6-13      -7     6    ---  -12.61
   501 H Illinois                9- 3       6     1    ++     4.64
   502 H Illinois                6- 5       1     1          -0.36
   503 H Illinois                2- 6      -4     1    --    -5.36
   505 H St. Thomas             14- 4      10     7    +      3.39
   508 A Nebraska                0-10     -10    -2    ---   -8.11
   509 A Nebraska               11-15      -4    -2    -     -2.11
   510 A Nebraska                6- 8      -2    -2          -0.11
   514 A Austin Peay            10- 2       8     2    ++     5.60
   515 A Kansas State           14- 5       9    -1    +++   10.46
   516 H Purdue                 15- 9       6     0    ++     5.84
   519 H Illinois               10- 6       4     1    +      2.64
   520 H Michigan State          3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.47
   521 A Purdue                  1- 8      -7    -1    --    -5.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Kansas State            6-15      -9    -1    ---   -7.54
   227 H Alabama                 2-12     -10    -1    ---   -9.43
   313 A Penn State              6-11      -5     3    ---   -8.44
   328 H UCLA                    0-19     -19    -2    ---  -12.09
   329 H UCLA                    6-14      -8    -2    ---   -6.09
   419 H Maryland                5-16     -11     2    ---  -12.72
   428 H Illinois State          6-13      -7     6    ---  -12.61
   508 A Nebraska                0-10     -10    -2    ---   -8.11
   220 H Florida Gulf Coast      7-10      -3     2    --    -5.44
   403 H Minnesota               4- 9      -5    -1    --    -4.17
   503 H Illinois                2- 6      -4     1    --    -5.36
   521 A Purdue                  1- 8      -7    -1    --    -5.81
   222 A Florida Atlantic        2- 3      -1     1    -     -2.40
   307 H Lindenwood              3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.38
   320 A Michigan State          0- 2      -2     0    -     -2.11
   412 A USC                     2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.66
   509 A Nebraska               11-15      -4    -2    -     -2.11
   520 H Michigan State          3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Illinois State         11- 0      11     4    +++    6.74
   407 A UCF                    12- 3       9    -1    +++    9.84
   424 A Indiana                12- 2      10     0    +++    9.90
   425 A Indiana                 9- 2       7     0    +++    6.90
   515 A Kansas State           14- 5       9    -1    +++   10.46
   215 H Northeastern           21-13       8     2    ++     5.92
   306 A Seton Hall             11- 1      10     5    ++     5.30
   314 A Penn State             13- 4       9     3    ++     5.56
   315 A Penn State             12- 4       8     3    ++     4.56
   321 H South Carolina          8- 2       6     2    ++     4.04
   331 A Bradley                21- 8      13     7    ++     5.72
   414 H Bradley                20- 1      19     9    ++     5.37
   421 H Western Illinois       22- 3      19     9    ++     4.93
   501 H Illinois                9- 3       6     1    ++     4.64
   514 A Austin Peay            10- 2       8     2    ++     5.60
   516 H Purdue                 15- 9       6     0    ++     5.84
   221 A Florida Atlantic        6- 1       5     1    +      3.60
   426 A Indiana                 7- 4       3     0    +      2.90
   505 H St. Thomas             14- 4      10     7    +      3.39
   519 H Illinois               10- 6       4     1    +      2.64

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)     6-15       -3.28      15.14       0.68         0.54            -0.70
   3 A Air Force       ( 5-13, 94.9)     4- 3       -5.00      13.42       0.68         0.54            15.10
   3 H Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)    21-13       -5.47      12.95      -0.68         0.54            13.15
   3 H Florida Gulf C  (35-21, 94.1)     7-10       -5.83      12.59      -0.68         0.54            -1.74
   3 A Florida Atlant  (28-26, 93.8)     6- 1       -6.15      12.28       0.68         0.54            13.88
   3 A Florida Atlant  (28-26, 93.8)     2- 3       -6.15      12.28       0.68         0.54            -1.47
   3 H Alabama         (42-20, 97.1)     2-12       -2.82      15.61      -0.68         0.54            -0.94
   3 A Houston         (23-28, 94.6)     6- 4       -5.30      13.12       0.68         0.54            14.78
   3 A UT Arlington    (11-14, 93.4)     3- 1       -6.51      11.92       0.68         0.54            13.49
   3 A Belmont         ( 4-12, 91.7)    10- 8       -8.16      10.27       0.68         0.54            11.73
   3 A Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)    11- 1       -9.44       8.99       0.68         0.54            10.35
   3 H Lindenwood      ( 4- 4, 95.1)     3- 4       -4.77      13.66      -0.68         0.54            -1.46
   3 H Lindenwood      ( 4- 4, 95.1)    10- 9       -4.77      13.66      -0.68         0.54            13.90
   3 H St. Thomas      ( 1- 8, 89.9)     7- 2      -10.01       8.42      -0.68         0.54             8.30
   3 A Penn State      (14-38, 91.7)     6-11       -8.19      10.24       0.68         0.54            -2.01
   3 A Penn State      (14-38, 91.7)    13- 4       -8.19      10.24       0.68         0.54            11.69
   3 A Penn State      (14-38, 91.7)    12- 4       -8.19      10.24       0.68         0.54            11.69
   3 A Michigan State  (26-28, 95.0)     0- 2       -4.86      13.57       0.68         0.54            -1.12
   3 H Northeastern    (33-25, 94.4)     5- 2       -5.47      12.95      -0.68         0.54            13.15
   3 H South Carolina  (21-34, 94.6)     8- 2       -5.35      13.08      -0.68         0.54            13.28
   3 A Illinois State  ( 4-13, 90.9)    11- 0       -9.00       9.43       0.68         0.54            10.82
   3 H UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)     2- 5       -1.48      16.94      -0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 H UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)     0-19       -1.48      16.94      -0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 H UCLA            (48-12, 98.4)     6-14       -1.48      16.94      -0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Bradley         ( 2- 6, 87.9)    21- 8      -12.03       6.40       0.68         0.54             7.58
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     4- 9       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.54            -0.87
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     3- 2       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.54            16.27
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     5- 4       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.54            16.27
   3 A UCF             (29-26, 96.0)    12- 3       -3.91      14.52       0.68         0.54            16.28
   3 H Long Beach Sta  (21-31, 92.9)     2- 0       -7.02      11.41      -0.68         0.54            11.49
   3 A USC             (43-22, 97.5)     3- 6       -2.41      16.02       0.68         0.54            -0.46
   3 A USC             (43-22, 97.5)     2- 8       -2.41      16.02       0.68         0.54            -0.46
   3 H Bradley         ( 2- 6, 87.9)    20- 1      -12.03       6.40      -0.68         0.54             6.13
   3 H Maryland        (27-28, 94.8)     5- 2       -5.11      13.31      -0.68         0.54            13.53
   3 H Maryland        (27-28, 94.8)     5-16       -5.11      13.31      -0.68         0.54            -1.55
   3 H Western Illino  ( 0- 8, 87.4)    22- 3      -12.47       5.96      -0.68         0.54             5.66
   3 H UIC             ( 7-12, 92.6)     6- 4       -7.27      11.16      -0.68         0.54            11.23
   3 A Indiana         (22-31, 95.1)    12- 2       -4.84      13.58       0.68         0.54            15.27
   3 A Indiana         (22-31, 95.1)     9- 2       -4.84      13.58       0.68         0.54            15.27
   3 A Indiana         (22-31, 95.1)     7- 4       -4.84      13.58       0.68         0.54            15.27
   3 H Illinois State  ( 4-13, 90.9)     6-13       -9.00       9.43      -0.68         0.54            -2.59
   3 H Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)     9- 3       -4.75      13.67      -0.68         0.54            13.92
   3 H Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)     6- 5       -4.75      13.67      -0.68         0.54            13.92
   3 H Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)     2- 6       -4.75      13.67      -0.68         0.54            -1.45
   3 H St. Thomas      ( 1- 8, 89.9)    14- 4      -10.01       8.42      -0.68         0.54             8.30
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)     0-10       -2.86      15.57       0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)    11-15       -2.86      15.57       0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)     6- 8       -2.86      15.57       0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)    10- 2       -7.14      11.29       0.68         0.54            12.81
   3 A Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)    14- 5       -3.28      15.14       0.68         0.54            16.94
   3 H Purdue          (39-18, 96.3)    15- 9       -3.56      14.87      -0.68         0.54            15.21
   3 H Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)    10- 6       -4.75      13.67      -0.68         0.54            13.92
   3 H Michigan State  (26-28, 95.0)     3- 4       -4.86      13.57      -0.68         0.54            -1.48
   3 A Purdue          (39-18, 96.3)     1- 8       -3.56      14.87       0.68         0.54            -0.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       398.04

winning pts = 420.6043 losing points = -22.5611

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------